First Quarter Extrapolations

May 13, 2014

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Lying with statistics.  We all do it, yet we all hate to be fooled by it.  It’s fun to do, yet exasperating.  Let’s see what happens when we apply it to the 2014 Dodgers:

  • Their final record will be 85-77, good enough for third place and 18 games behind the Giants.  The Giants finish the season at an incredible 103-59.
  • Adrian Gonzalez leads the Dodgers with 36 HRs and 108 RBIs.
  • Yasiel Puig finishes his sophomore season with 28 HRs and 116 RBIs.
  • Dee Gordon steals 96 bases and is caught just 12 times.
  • Zack Greinke and Dan Haren lead the pitching staff with records of 24-4 and 20-4, respectively.
  • Clayton Kershaw is only able to chip in with eight wins on the year.
  • Kenley Jansen has 48 saves, but 8 blown saves.
  • Brian Wilson finishes with an 0-8 record and 4 blown saves.
  • AJ Ellis has eight walks in 58 plate appearances.

Obviously, none of the above is going to happen.  That’s why they play the games.

Here’s looking forward to the last three quarters of the season being more successful than the first one quarter.

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Recap of the Worst Game of 2014 (So Far)

April 16, 2014

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First, the good news:

  1. Juan Uribe scored both runs for the Dodgers.  He started the scoring with a solo home run in the second inning.  He later added a double and was pushed across the plate with Justin Turner’s single.  Uribe added a third hit, a single, later in the game.  Juan has been on a tear hitting-wise and has continued his stellar play defensively.  This game had me thinking that Uribe should be batting fifth, but then again, there was 2011-2012.
  2. Josh Beckett was able to survive a couple of major jams and actually pitched shutout ball for five innings despite walking five Giants.  He was definitely shaky, but much improved from his first start.  I’m actually looking forward to his third start.
  3. Matt Kemp hit his first single of the year!  Maybe this is a sign that he’s not pressing so hard, not trying to hit every ball out of the park.  Eventually, Mattingly will see the need to start Kemp in every game.  Later, Matt added a huge double, which may have been worthwhile, if only…

Now the bad news:

  1. The FedEx bunt.  It not only did not deliver, it took away a run by erasing Uribe just prior to the Matt Kemp double.  We could have seen Uribe scoring all three runs and won the game.  I can’t wait for AJ to return.  The FedEx/Butera platoon works on defense, but it sure puts a hole in the lineup.
  2. Chris Withrow let a run score on him, just after the team showed confidence in him by sending Paco to AAA rather than Withrow.  Of course, this was just the first time that he allowed a run this year, unlike…
  3. Kenley Jansen blew yet another save.  Dodger fans far and wide must be wondering just what is going on here.
  4. Andre Ethier was unable to convert a scoring opportunity directly after Yasiel Puig hit a one-out triple.  Ethier left him on third base with a strikeout, when “Not Every Day Dre” could have scored him with an ordinary fly ball.
  5. The non-appearance of Brian Wilson.  Of course, this is completely on Don Mattingly.  It looked like Mattingly was holding the Beard back for a possible save situation.  To me, it appeared that Mattingly was playing the extra innings just to lose the game when he inserted…
  6. Brandon League.  Why is he even still a Dodger?  When will Ned Colletti and Stan Kasten wake up, recognize the sunken costs and abject failure of the League contract, and designate him for assignment (DFA)?

Losing the first game of this Giants series after it had seemed we would win is especially troubling due to the fact that Paul Maholm is starting for us tonight.  That makes it doubly difficult to come out of San Francisco with a series victory.

 


We found out

September 15, 2011

On Tuesday night, Gerardo Parra hit a home run, then paused before running the bases just a little too long to suit the Dodgers.  The home run followed a previous at bat by Parra in which he had to duck an errant throw from Hong-Chih Kuo.   A.J. Ellis yelled “You’re better than that.” to Parra after his showboat antics when he crossed the plate.  Clayton Kershaw went ballistic in the dugout and traded shouts with D’backs pitcher Daniel Hudson, who at some point asked Kershaw what he would do about the situation.  “You’ll find out!  You’ll find out!”, came the heated reply from Kershaw, well within earshot of hundreds of fans, players, coaches and umpires.

Last night, leading in the 6th inning 2-0, Kershaw threw a pitch several inches inside to Parra, nicking him on his elbow.  Home plate umpire Bill Welke immediately ejected Clayton from the game.  While Rod Barajas and Kershaw were arguing about that decision in disbelief, Don Mattingly emerged from the dugout just about as angry as he has been this season and argued the case.  Soon however, he crossed a line and was also tossed from the game.  It was highly unusual that Kershaw was thrown out of the game since there were no prior warnings given.

Rookie pitcher Josh Lindblom hurriedly warmed up then took over the pitching duties, determined to hold the lead for Kershaw.  Lindblom made 29 pitches while striking out five batters in two innings.  He was removed for pinch hitter Trent Oeltjen in the bottom of the 7th inning.  Nathan Eovaldi and Kenley Jansen followed with solid performances and the Dodgers won 3-2.

Despite his ejection, Kershaw improved his standing in the race for the Cy Young Award by winning his 19th game and throwing five shutout innings and striking out five.  Welke’s poor judgement robbed Kershaw of the chance to pitch more scoreless innings and build up his strikeout total, further improving his Cy Young chances.

Tony Jackson has more on this event and the reactions from Kershaw, Mattingly and umpiring chief, Tim Tschida in his column.

Today’s probable starters are Dana Eveland, 2-0, 0.60 ERA going against the Pirate’s Ross Ohlendorf, 0-2, 8.03 ERA.

This Day in Dodgers History

September 15, 1978 – In front of 47,188 fans at Dodger Stadium, Don Sutton throws a six-hitter to beat Atlanta, 5-0. With tonight’s attendance, Los Angeles becomes the first team to draw three million fans at home in major league history.