Dodgers, Trades, Angels

July 31, 2015

Kershaw

Who’s In?  Who’s Out?

Most of the Dodgers trading activity at or near the deadline involved pitching.  Trade away the youngsters who are still in development.  Receive some seasoned staff who have already proven themselves in the major leagues.  Pay millions and millions for bad contracts on worn-out players who will never play for the Dodgers.  Note that “#Years” is number of contract years the players will be under control.

WHIP    FIP    Age    #Years    Level    Position     Name

1.267    3.17   24      4 years   MLB     St LHP       Alex Wood

1.175    3.40   27    2 months  MLB    St RHP        Mat Latos

1.309    3.67   32    2 months  MLB    RL RHP       Jim Johnson

1.165    3.43   25     4 years    MLB    RL LHP       Luis Avilan

.303/.344/.388  21    6+yrs     AAA     SS/2B       Jose Peraza  ++speed

.275/.336/377   27     1 yr       MLB     RF/LF     Jose Tabata  DFA’d–>AAA

really old  38     2 mo    MLB     was RHP   Bronson Arroyo won’t pitch

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And those being sent away:

WHIP    FIP    Age   #Years   Level   Position    Name

.323/.407/.504  30    5 years  Cuba   3B          Hector Olivera

0.996   2.98     24     4 years  MLB    RL LHP   Paco Rodriquez

1.456   4.74era  20    6 yrs      A+       RHP       Zachary Bird

1.294   3.36era  20     6 yrs     A          RHP      Kevin Guzman

1.551   4.93era   23    6 yrs     A+        RHP      Jeff Brigham

1.187   4.30era   22    6 yrs     A+        RHP      Victor Araujo

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No, the Dodgers did not get Cole Hamels AND David Price to lock down a Kershaw/Greinke/Hamels/Price rotation in the playoffs.  However, they did solidify their rotation by adding a solid #3 Alex Wood and a good #4 Mat Latos.  That will send “I can’t pitch into the sixth inning” Mike Bolsinger to AAA.  Also notice that Alex Wood is not a rental and will be a solid piece in the rotation up through 2019.

The bullpen is also improved with the addition of Jim Johnson and Luis Avilan.  I will miss Paco Rodriquez, however, he was out a lot of the past couple of years with injuries.  The addition of two starters also allows Carlos Frias to be used in the bullpen, where he is arguably more effective.

Meanwhile, we never got to see Hector Olivera perform as a Dodger.  Hopefully, Justin Turner will get healthy and stay healthy and the Dodgers won’t miss Hector.  Next year or later this year, Jose Peraza can be added to the infield and potentially be used as a true leadoff hitter.


Dodgers A’s Game Two

July 29, 2015

as

We don’t know who is pitching.  We don’t yet know the lineup.  We don’t even know who’s still on the team.  But we know one thing:  the comments on the last post are getting mixed around.

So here’s a new post.  Carry on.


Trade Deadline

July 27, 2015

trade_deadline

The major league baseball trade deadline is 1pm Pacific Daylight Time on Friday July 31.  Two of the starting pitchers in whom the Dodgers reportedly had interest have already been traded.  On Thursday, July 23rd, the Oakland A’s traded Scott Kazmir to the Houston Astros.  Yesterday, the Cincinatti Reds traded Johnny Cueto to the Kansas City Royals.

So who are the Dodgers still thinking about?  Certainly Cole Hamels of the Philadelphia Phillies, although the price will be steep.  Hamels has a contract that could keep him from becoming a free agent until 2019.  David Price of the Detroit Tigers would be a huge prize pitcher.  He will be a free agent next year.  That would keep the trade price lower (in terms of quantity and quality of prospects).  Jeff Samardzija of the Chicago White Sox is another possibility.  Samardzija will be a free agent next year, also.  Yovani Gallardo of the Texas Rangers is another “rental” type pitcher (free agent in 2016).

Here’s how some of these guys line up in terms of career statistics in comparison to our current starting pitching staff.  I’ll throw in Carlos Frias into that comparison, if only to spare Zach Lee some unnecessary pain.  Just for laughs, let’s also look at Kevin Correa and Roberto Hernandez (aka Fausto Carmona).  WHIP stands for Walks plus Hits per Innings Pitched.  FIP stands for Fielding Independent Pitching.  FIP equals (13 x HR + 3 x (BB + HBP) – 2 x SO ) / IP, plus a constant to make the league FIP equal the league ERA.  The theory is that pitchers control home runs, walks, hit batsmen, and strikeouts, but have no control over what happens when the batter hits the ball into the field but not over the fence.

Please note that Clayton Kershaw is the current active leader in career FIP for all pitchers who have pitched more than 1,000 innings after the end of the dead ball era.  Kershaw’s FIP of 2.672 just barely edges out Sandy Koufax at 2.687.

 

WHIP     FIP        Pitcher

1.048     2.67     Clayton Kershaw

1.197     3.33     Zack Greinke

1.293     3.52     Brett Anderson

1.335     3.25     Mike Bolsinger

1.451     4.01     Carlo Frias

 

1.145     3.47     Cole Hamels

1.137     3.22     David Price

1.260     3.70     Jeff Samardzija

1.304     3.71     Yovani Gallardo

 

1.430     4.53     Kevin Correia

1.410     4.56     Roberto Hernandez

 


Who’s Hot Who’s Not – July

July 22, 2015

ice-heat

 

We can all sense who has been doing well lately and who has not been pulling their weight.  This post takes a look at exactly that, using numbers for July 2015 from Baseball Reference.  Today’s game (third game in the Braves series) is not included in these numbers, so Mike Bolsinger’s excellent performance would improve his numbers below.

Hitters are ranked based on their OPS (on base percentage plus slugging percentage).  Pitchers are ranked based on their WHIP (walks plus hits divided by innings pitched).  To give us a sense of the sample size, I have also included the plate appearances (PA) and innings pitched (IP).

 

OPS    PA   Hitter

1.205   22   Ellis

1.194    37   Grandal

1.111    62   Gonzalez

0.942   41   Ethier

0.898   19   Hernandez

0.886   57   Turner

0.762     7   Barnes

0.752   18    Van Slyke

0.643   70   Kendrick

0.623   67   Puig

0.541   54   Rollins

0.427   66   Pederson

0.340   21   Callaspo

0.125   16   Guerrero

 

WHIP  IP   Starting Pitcher

0.391   23   Greinke

0.750   24   Kershaw

1.333   15   Bolsinger

1.477   22   Anderson

2.000    8   Beachy

 

WHIP  IP   Relief Pitcher

0.500   2    Thomas

1.000    6    Jansen

1.071     5    Howell

1.364     7    Baez

1.500    4    Surkamp

1.579     6    Tsao

1.833    6    Nicasio

2.250    5    Peralta

2.333    3    Garcia

2.700    3    Liberatore


Beachy Experiment Take Two

July 20, 2015

Beachy

With the three game series in Atlanta comes the second Dodgers start by pitcher Brandon Beachy.  His first did not go too well, but it was not a complete disaster either.  He threw 78 pitches in four innings against the Brewers, giving up three runs on five hits and three walks, while striking out two.  Not good.  But not terrible enough for the Dodgers to give up on him.  So today he gets another try at it, this time against his former team, the Atlanta Braves.


Greinke Scherzer

July 19, 2015

I’m starting a new post so we can hopefully have comments that come out in order.


Second Half

July 16, 2015

secondhalf

Second Half Thoughts

1.  The season is already more than half over, as the Dodgers have already played 90 games (51-39!  woo hoo!), not just 81 games.

2.  The Pederson family.  Joc’s dad, Stu Pederson, got a cup of coffee (maybe two cups) with the Dodgers in 1985.  He got into eight games, played eight innings in the outfield, and never got a hit in five plate appearances.  He did register an RBI, however, with a sacrifice fly.  Joc’s brother, Champ, is actually Joc’s oldest brother.  Joc has another older brother, Tyger, who was drafted by the Dodgers in 2013.  Tyger played in the Arizona League in 2013, then for an independent team in 2014.

3.  Trade Potentials?   The Dodgers need at least one more good starting pitcher that will ensure their entry into the playoffs, as well as their successful movement through the playoffs and into the World Series.  Keep in mind that Brett Anderson last pitched 175 innings in his first season (2009) at age 21.  In all of his career since then, he has not broken 113 innings.  He’s got 108 innings so far in 2015.  Starting pitchers that may be available at or near the July 31 trade deadline include Cole Hamels and Johnny Cueto, among others.

4.  The good:  Greinke has been great.  Justin Turner is hitting well.  Andre Ethier is arguably the Comeback Player of the Year.  Joc Pederson has proven how important it is to have a real center fielder on defense.  Plus, those dingers.  Adrian Gonzalez has shown why the Dodgers made a big trade with the Red Sox.  Remember James Loney and his .764 OPS?  Yeah.

5.  The bad:  Jimmy Rollins is still barely above the Mendoza Line.

6.  The sad:  Yasiel Puig misses his buddies, Juan Uribe and Hyun Jin Ryu.  Does that affect his play?  Who knows?