Lineup Prognostication

1963WSG1

Here it comes. The Dodgers are facing a right-handed pitcher tonight. But last night, both Matt Kemp and Yasiel Puig raked. Kemp had a breakout night with two doubles and a run scored. Puig had two RBI hits, including an amazing triple that might have been an inside the park home run, if only he would run immediately after hitting the ball. Meanwhile, all Andre Ethier put up were goose eggs, including an 0-2 with RISP.

So which players will be in Don Mattingly’s lineup tonight? The Phillies are starting right hander Kyle Kendrick against the Dodgers. His career statistics against lefties compared to righties are as follows (BAA/OBPA/SLGA/OPSA):

Lefties            .284/.351/.420/.737

Righties          .272/.313/.381/.669

 

As we can see, left handers on average have had a mild advantage. But let’s look in depth, as Donnie probably will, at the specific batters’ career numbers against Kendrick: (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS in PA(plate appearances):

Kemp              .400/.400/.400/.800 in 15 PA’s (six singles)

Puig                .833/.833/1.333/2.167 in 6 PA’s (double, triple)

Ethier             .273/.360/.636/.996 in 25 PA’s (with 2 homers)

Crawford        .333/.333/.333/.667 in 3 PA’s

Van Slyke        never faced him

 

Just for fun, here is the rest of the team:

Ramirez          .257/.278/.429/.706 in 36 PA’s (with 1 homer)

Gonzalez        .333/.500/.444/.944 in 12 PA’s

Uribe              .400/.400/.600/1.000 in 5 PA’s

Gordon           .000/.333/.000/.333 in 3 PA’s

In the outfield, Puig rakes, while Ethier and Kemp are very good against Kendrick. Carl Crawford hasn’t seen a lot of time against him. I’m guessing that Donnie will look at these numbers, not see any extra base hits from Kemp, and decide that it’s Kemp’s turn to ride the pine.

 

My Projection of Donnie’s Lineup:

Gordon 2b

Crawford lf

Ramirez ss

Gonzalez 1b

Puig rf

Ethier cf

Uribe 3b

Federowicz c

Haren p

 

My preferred lineup (okay, I stole it from Kahliforni):

Gordon 2b

Puig rf

Ramirez ss

Gonzalez 1b

Kemp cf

Ethier lf

Uribe 3b

Butera c (though we could say FedEx)

Haren p

 

The real meat of this lineup is 1-5, with Gordon setting the table and confusing the pitcher and catcher. Then Puig, Ramirez, Gonzalez, and Kemp just drive the ball like crazy. Ethier and Uribe chip in the best they can, then the 8-9 spots are basically just place-holders until we get back to the top of the lineup.

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32 Responses to Lineup Prognostication

  1. crash24now says:

    I’m looking forward to the Dodgers denying the Phillies of a series victory in our house!

  2. kahliforni says:

    Keep Crawford on the bench, or better yet, on a team in desperate need of a weak-armed, injury-prone outfielder.

    • crash24now says:

      Kemp vs. Crawford:

      Lifetime OPS: .843 vs. .769
      2014 OPS: .779 vs. .542
      Defense: even Vinny says Crawford’s got no arm
      Age: 29 vs. 32

  3. 32and53fan says:

    Actual Dodgers lineup vs. Phillies:
    Gordon 2B
    Crawford LF
    Ramirez SS
    Gonzalez 1B
    Puig RF
    Ethier CF
    Uribe 3B
    Federowicz C
    Haren P

  4. Here’s hoping we can get another victory tonight.
    GO DODGERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  5. trublu4ever says:

    Thank-you, Juan!

  6. Got to hold this lead.

  7. Another error hurts us again.

  8. crash24now says:

    Now we’ve got the best outfielders in the outfield.

  9. crash24now says:

    Withrow gets the job done, now let’s get some runs!

  10. crash24now says:

    A-Gon!

  11. YO Adrian. were tied.

  12. crash24now says:

    What in the world is going on? Why let Perez hit if he’s not going to continue pitching? No pinch hitters left on the bench? I’d rather that Greinke hit rather than Perez!!!!

  13. crash24now says:

    Carlos Ruiz strikes again. Down 5-3

  14. Glad we won’t have to look at Ruiz for a while after tonight..

  15. crash24now says:

    You know you’ve done a poor job in relief when you get yanked out in the middle of the inning and replaced by an old man.

  16. crash24now says:

    Marlon Byrd. Ugh.

  17. The Dodgers just have to keep battling

  18. crash24now says:

    Losing a series to the hated Phillies 3-1 really sucks. But at least we are still in first place. We’ve got our work cut out for us as the Rockies are coming to town.

  19. Dodger4life says:

    I fell asleep in the second inning last night. I see the outcome wasn’t good.

  20. kahliforni says:

    Mattingly, talking about the crowded outfield and who to play: “I think they’re going to tell me which way to go, more than anything,” he said. “It doesn’t matter what idea I have. I think it will work itself out.”

    Can I vomit now? Make a decision, Mr. “Players’ Manager.” Geez, is this guy some leader or what!?!?!?!?!?!?!

    Three of the best and worst of the Guggenheim regime:
    Best—
    1) Signing Puig, 2) Signing Greinke, 3) Trading for AGon.
    Worst—
    1) Extending Ned, 2) Extending Donnie, 3) F**king up the TV deal

  21. enchantedbeaver says:

    Now that he’s had a month to evaluate, I think its time Donnie redefines roles in the bullpen. Withrow has earned and deserves to be the set-up man. Perez has earned the 7th inning. And Wilson has earned fighting League for mop-up innings that don’t matter. Neither one is worth the powder to blow them to hell. Wright should’ve had to earn a spot as an NRA again this spring (and probably wouldn’t have), but that’s our Ned with the guaranteed ML contract. Meanwhile Paco is down on the farm with nothing to prove. Ned never will learn at you don’t give big long term contracts to non-elite relievers, or that young with talent and upside is better than old with experience.

    The outfield situation is a joke. They need to find a way to make Crawford go away so that you could at least get some rhythm and continuity going amongst the other three. Crawford was a sunken cost to get Agon anyway, so eat the damn contract and let him go. Personally, my outfield would be Kemp/Peredson/Puig, but we all know that Pederson will NEVER get an opportunity for this club and will take his 5-tools somewhere that’ll appreciate him. Ned will probably get a Dotel-esque reliever for him.

    New ownership, old ownership, it doesn’t matter. The common thread is Ned and Torre/Mattingly. Anything this team has or will ever accomplish is in spite, not because of them. But I have to think that better leadership would’ve at least brought a pennant by now if not a championship.

    • kahliforni says:

      Gotta believe Beard is still hurt. He can’t be this bad…. Wouldn’t surprise me if he heads for the DL with Paco returning. I like Pederson, too, but I still think Ethier can be a stud if Donnie stops messing with him. How, oh how, did the illustrious Dodgers get stuck with the two-headed Yankee monster known as Torre/Mattingly?????? Never met a platoon they didn’t like.

      • messagebear says:

        My take is that Kasten is the ultimate Asshole here. After all, when you are responsible for retaining and essentially praising the performance of two proven assholes, Donnie and Ned, what does that make you?

  22. trublu4ever says:

    Last week there were rumors that Towers and Gibson are oh so close to being fired…..too bad the same doesn’t go for our two under achievers.

    • JhallWally says:

      🙂 Yep, Nedcompoop and Dildon should have been gone with McCourt…. We will not win a championship with Ned and Dildon… I said it 5 years ago and I stand by it…

  23. oldbrooklynfan says:

    No doubt Wilson was the cause of the loss last night. whatever the reason and I also think that the outfield situation will work itself out just as soon as on of them gets red hot and starts burning up the peach patch and make it hard for Matingly to bench whoever it might be and/or somebody will either go on the DL or go into a horrendous slump. These things do happen.

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