Greinke pitching but not hitting.
Here it comes. The Dodgers are facing a right-handed pitcher tonight. But last night, both Matt Kemp and Yasiel Puig raked. Kemp had a breakout night with two doubles and a run scored. Puig had two RBI hits, including an amazing triple that might have been an inside the park home run, if only he would run immediately after hitting the ball. Meanwhile, all Andre Ethier put up were goose eggs, including an 0-2 with RISP.
So which players will be in Don Mattingly’s lineup tonight? The Phillies are starting right hander Kyle Kendrick against the Dodgers. His career statistics against lefties compared to righties are as follows (BAA/OBPA/SLGA/OPSA):
As we can see, left handers on average have had a mild advantage. But let’s look in depth, as Donnie probably will, at the specific batters’ career numbers against Kendrick: (BA/OBP/SLG/OPS in PA(plate appearances):
Kemp .400/.400/.400/.800 in 15 PA’s (six singles)
Puig .833/.833/1.333/2.167 in 6 PA’s (double, triple)
Ethier .273/.360/.636/.996 in 25 PA’s (with 2 homers)
Crawford .333/.333/.333/.667 in 3 PA’s
Van Slyke never faced him
Just for fun, here is the rest of the team:
Ramirez .257/.278/.429/.706 in 36 PA’s (with 1 homer)
Gonzalez .333/.500/.444/.944 in 12 PA’s
Uribe .400/.400/.600/1.000 in 5 PA’s
Gordon .000/.333/.000/.333 in 3 PA’s
In the outfield, Puig rakes, while Ethier and Kemp are very good against Kendrick. Carl Crawford hasn’t seen a lot of time against him. I’m guessing that Donnie will look at these numbers, not see any extra base hits from Kemp, and decide that it’s Kemp’s turn to ride the pine.
My Projection of Donnie’s Lineup:
My preferred lineup (okay, I stole it from Kahliforni):
Butera c (though we could say FedEx)
The real meat of this lineup is 1-5, with Gordon setting the table and confusing the pitcher and catcher. Then Puig, Ramirez, Gonzalez, and Kemp just drive the ball like crazy. Ethier and Uribe chip in the best they can, then the 8-9 spots are basically just place-holders until we get back to the top of the lineup.
Hit me here, not there. Hit me here, not there. Hit me in the ribs, don’t go for the head.
Oh, those were the days. The Phillies were a good team. Now they are languishing.
Meanwhile, the outfield conundrum continues. I assume that Cliff Lee will be facing three right-handed outfielders, by name of Kemp, Puig, and Van Slyke. Scott Van Slyke has really raked against lefties, leaving little chance that either Ethier nor Crawford will be starting tonight.
Kershaw and Ellis are on the mend, but still won’t be back for a little bit. So the Dodgers’ job this series is to take two or three from the Phillies, while the Giants and Rockies battle it out for second place. San Diego visits the red-hot Brewers. The Diamondbacks are already eight games down.
First, the good news:
Now the bad news:
Losing the first game of this Giants series after it had seemed we would win is especially troubling due to the fact that Paul Maholm is starting for us tonight. That makes it doubly difficult to come out of San Francisco with a series victory.